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The Bank of Japan is not going to be changing its monetary policy before the fiscal year end on March 31. As corporations close down their books, they don't want any pronounced movements in the dollar-yen rate. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The Bank of Japan is not going to be changing its monetary policy before the fiscal year end on March 31. As corporations close down their books, they don't want any pronounced movements in the dollar-yen rate.

Michael Woolfolk

While the US trade deficit showed an unexpected improvement in February, any lasting market enthusiasm was firmly misplaced. Energy prices continue to rise while China remains resistant to further currency flexibility. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

While the US trade deficit showed an unexpected improvement in February, any lasting market enthusiasm was firmly misplaced. Energy prices continue to rise while China remains resistant to further currency flexibility.

Michael Woolfolk

While the monthly December data was not itself a negative surprise, the aggregate 2005 total was a rude reminder. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

While the monthly December data was not itself a negative surprise, the aggregate 2005 total was a rude reminder.

Michael Woolfolk

What we are concerned about is that going forward they may decide to remove petrodollars and redirect them elsewhere. If they do, it is negative for the bond market and ultimately for the U.S. dollar. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

What we are concerned about is that going forward they may decide to remove petrodollars and redirect them elsewhere. If they do, it is negative for the bond market and ultimately for the U.S. dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

Oil prices have risen so dramatically that the view now is that this could choke off U.S. growth and prevent any recovery in the stock market. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Oil prices have risen so dramatically that the view now is that this could choke off U.S. growth and prevent any recovery in the stock market.

Michael Woolfolk

If unemployment dips any lower, that may indicate some wage inflation and the Fed will likely continue to raise rates. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

If unemployment dips any lower, that may indicate some wage inflation and the Fed will likely continue to raise rates.

Michael Woolfolk

Anecdotal evidence on the trading floor indicates things have been lighter than at any other point in the week. You are seeing some one-off flows that are making a greater impact in the market due to this lower level of liquidity and volume. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Anecdotal evidence on the trading floor indicates things have been lighter than at any other point in the week. You are seeing some one-off flows that are making a greater impact in the market due to this lower level of liquidity and volume.

Michael Woolfolk

This morning's announcement by the Bank of Japan to end quantitative easing is being viewed as an indication that the Japanese economy is returning to health, but appears insufficient to prompt any consistent yen buying as of yet. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

This morning's announcement by the Bank of Japan to end quantitative easing is being viewed as an indication that the Japanese economy is returning to health, but appears insufficient to prompt any consistent yen buying as of yet.

Michael Woolfolk

Were this trend in new home sales to continue, the Fed will be less likely to increase interest rates, which would be a dollar negative. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Were this trend in new home sales to continue, the Fed will be less likely to increase interest rates, which would be a dollar negative.

Michael Woolfolk

Home

February's data support the view that the U.S. labor market remains strong, particularly on the services side, with unemployment solidly below the 5% level. The Fed is likely to continue raising rates for the foreseeable future. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

February's data support the view that the U.S. labor market remains strong, particularly on the services side, with unemployment solidly below the 5% level. The Fed is likely to continue raising rates for the foreseeable future.

Michael Woolfolk

Labor

We won't see the dollar embarking on any new trend until the markets get a better sense of where the Fed is headed. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

We won't see the dollar embarking on any new trend until the markets get a better sense of where the Fed is headed.

Michael Woolfolk

Any time you have credible evidence of terrorism in the U.S. or abroad, it works against the dollar. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Any time you have credible evidence of terrorism in the U.S. or abroad, it works against the dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

Whereas Asian demand for US bonds is unlikely to end any time soon as a conscious policy decision, the reversal of petrodollars from the US bond market remains the greatest threat to the dollar in 2006. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Whereas Asian demand for US bonds is unlikely to end any time soon as a conscious policy decision, the reversal of petrodollars from the US bond market remains the greatest threat to the dollar in 2006.

Michael Woolfolk

This report is nothing short of remarkable. The formula for a strong dollar is strong growth, tight monetary policy and loose fiscal policy. The U.S. happens to have all three. Private investors are comfortable investing in a country like the U.S. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

This report is nothing short of remarkable. The formula for a strong dollar is strong growth, tight monetary policy and loose fiscal policy. The U.S. happens to have all three. Private investors are comfortable investing in a country like the U.S.

Michael Woolfolk

The market took this to mean that there is a 100 percent chance that interest rates will be increased at the next meeting and a 75 percent chance at the meeting after that. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The market took this to mean that there is a 100 percent chance that interest rates will be increased at the next meeting and a 75 percent chance at the meeting after that.

Michael Woolfolk

The dollar rally after the non-farm payrolls report underscores the continued importance of labor market tightness with respect to interest rate expectations. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The dollar rally after the non-farm payrolls report underscores the continued importance of labor market tightness with respect to interest rate expectations.

Michael Woolfolk

Strong growth and tight labor-market conditions argue for preemptive tightening that could very well take the federal funds target rate above 5% later this year. This is viewed as a dollar positive. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Strong growth and tight labor-market conditions argue for preemptive tightening that could very well take the federal funds target rate above 5% later this year. This is viewed as a dollar positive.

Michael Woolfolk

This has had a psychological effect on the markets. For those of us left in the office, we're just watching to see just how high the 10-year will go today. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

This has had a psychological effect on the markets. For those of us left in the office, we're just watching to see just how high the 10-year will go today.

Michael Woolfolk

Given recent Fed warnings over high levels of capacity utilization and low levels of unemployment, today's report increases the probability that the Fed will raise rates above 5.0% later this year. Last Friday's release of March unemployment further buttresses this view. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Given recent Fed warnings over high levels of capacity utilization and low levels of unemployment, today's report increases the probability that the Fed will raise rates above 5.0% later this year. Last Friday's release of March unemployment further buttresses this view.

Michael Woolfolk

Market players don't want to be caught the wrong way here going into a very heavy data week in the U.S.. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Market players don't want to be caught the wrong way here going into a very heavy data week in the U.S..

Michael Woolfolk

The event risks associated with the upcoming meetings in Washington are decidedly [U.S. dollar] negative. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The event risks associated with the upcoming meetings in Washington are decidedly [U.S. dollar] negative.

Michael Woolfolk

Our Fed watchers say there's a consistent story that the Fed is one and done. Today's data doesn't change this story. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Our Fed watchers say there's a consistent story that the Fed is one and done. Today's data doesn't change this story.

Michael Woolfolk

These are ideal conditions for speculators to push spot prices around. The dollar appears to be testing new lows against the yen. The price movements are not supported by fundamentals. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

These are ideal conditions for speculators to push spot prices around. The dollar appears to be testing new lows against the yen. The price movements are not supported by fundamentals.

Michael Woolfolk

The removal of the word 'measured' ... would be positive for the dollar as it suggests that the Fed is giving itself room to raise rates at a faster pace later this year. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The removal of the word 'measured' ... would be positive for the dollar as it suggests that the Fed is giving itself room to raise rates at a faster pace later this year.

Michael Woolfolk

We knew that there were going to be some hurricane-related distortions in the September data, but this really exceeded our worst fears. This was a turn for the worst. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

We knew that there were going to be some hurricane-related distortions in the September data, but this really exceeded our worst fears. This was a turn for the worst.

Michael Woolfolk

There was quite a sell-off on Friday and it may have been overblown. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

There was quite a sell-off on Friday and it may have been overblown.

Michael Woolfolk

This certain beats even the most optimistic forecasts, - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

This certain beats even the most optimistic forecasts,

Michael Woolfolk

The dollar will remain supported for the time being so long as central banks overseas continue to intervene to keep their currencies weak against the U.S. dollar. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The dollar will remain supported for the time being so long as central banks overseas continue to intervene to keep their currencies weak against the U.S. dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

Benign inflation has weakened the Canadian dollar a little bit. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Benign inflation has weakened the Canadian dollar a little bit.

Michael Woolfolk

If the Bank of Canadian continues to hike rates after the Federal Reserve pauses, it will narrow the rate differential between the two. This will make the Canadian dollar more favorable. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

If the Bank of Canadian continues to hike rates after the Federal Reserve pauses, it will narrow the rate differential between the two. This will make the Canadian dollar more favorable.

Michael Woolfolk

Consumers are out there spending and keeping the economy alive. We see dollar strength heading into next year. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Consumers are out there spending and keeping the economy alive. We see dollar strength heading into next year.

Michael Woolfolk

The people who believe that the inversion of the yield curve is a signal of recession have it wrong this time. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The people who believe that the inversion of the yield curve is a signal of recession have it wrong this time.

Michael Woolfolk

The reason why an inverted yield curve need not foreshadow recession this time is that it is foreign investors and not domestic investors who are increasingly buyers of U.S. bonds. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The reason why an inverted yield curve need not foreshadow recession this time is that it is foreign investors and not domestic investors who are increasingly buyers of U.S. bonds.

Michael Woolfolk

This bodes well for hopeful dollar bulls in the event that the U.S. retail sales or producer price index surprise on the upside [Friday]. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

This bodes well for hopeful dollar bulls in the event that the U.S. retail sales or producer price index surprise on the upside [Friday].

Michael Woolfolk

Sales

But the tape will not be as important to the market as new data. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

But the tape will not be as important to the market as new data.

Michael Woolfolk

I don't think it is possible for Iran to take money out of both the United States and Europe. There are just not sufficiently deep or liquid markets to place these sums of money. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

I don't think it is possible for Iran to take money out of both the United States and Europe. There are just not sufficiently deep or liquid markets to place these sums of money.

Michael Woolfolk

The weekend 'No' vote was deemed to be negative for the euro and has sent the euro/dollar into a new trading range, ... It is quite possible that in the coming weeks we could get as low as $1.20 before the market decides that it has bought enough dollars for the time being. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The weekend 'No' vote was deemed to be negative for the euro and has sent the euro/dollar into a new trading range, ... It is quite possible that in the coming weeks we could get as low as $1.20 before the market decides that it has bought enough dollars for the time being.

Michael Woolfolk

Unless the Bush administration is capable of cutting the current account deficit in half, the dollar's decline is destined to continue, - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Unless the Bush administration is capable of cutting the current account deficit in half, the dollar's decline is destined to continue,

Michael Woolfolk

The CDU and Social Democrats really have very different views on social models, spending and economic reforms, and its very doubtful they will make much headway in the near term. The euro is out of favor right now. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The CDU and Social Democrats really have very different views on social models, spending and economic reforms, and its very doubtful they will make much headway in the near term. The euro is out of favor right now.

Michael Woolfolk

Unless the Bush administration is capable of cutting the current account deficit in half, the dollar's decline is destined to continue. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Unless the Bush administration is capable of cutting the current account deficit in half, the dollar's decline is destined to continue.

Michael Woolfolk

The weekend 'No' vote was deemed to be negative for the euro and has sent the euro/dollar into a new trading range. It is quite possible that in the coming weeks we could get as low as $1.20 before the market decides that it has bought enough dollars for the time being. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The weekend 'No' vote was deemed to be negative for the euro and has sent the euro/dollar into a new trading range. It is quite possible that in the coming weeks we could get as low as $1.20 before the market decides that it has bought enough dollars for the time being.

Michael Woolfolk

Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide a support for dollar bulls. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide a support for dollar bulls.

Michael Woolfolk

Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide support for dollar bulls. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

Interest rate differentials are supporting the U.S. dollar for the time being. Until the Fed pauses, it looks that's going to provide support for dollar bulls.

Michael Woolfolk

The U.S. dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The U.S. dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

The US dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The US dollar's ability to rally strongly off a better-than-expected trade deficit is a strong indication that the market hasn't yet given up on the dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

With the market now anticipating a pause in monetary tightening on behalf of the Fed ... the dollar is having trouble maintaining its value against the majors. Any disappointments in next week's U.S. data could well feed into the emerging bearish dollar sentiment. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

With the market now anticipating a pause in monetary tightening on behalf of the Fed ... the dollar is having trouble maintaining its value against the majors. Any disappointments in next week's U.S. data could well feed into the emerging bearish dollar sentiment.

Michael Woolfolk

With the market now anticipating a pause in monetary tightening on behalf of the Fed Ã¢â¬Â¦ the dollar is having trouble maintaining its value against the majors. Any disappointments in next week's U.S. data could well feed into the emerging bearish dollar sentiment. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

With the market now anticipating a pause in monetary tightening on behalf of the Fed Ã¢â¬Â¦ the dollar is having trouble maintaining its value against the majors. Any disappointments in next week's U.S. data could well feed into the emerging bearish dollar sentiment.

Michael Woolfolk

The United States is very dependent on Asian bank buying and petrodollars. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

The United States is very dependent on Asian bank buying and petrodollars.

Michael Woolfolk

We would have to say there is a confluence of events conspiring against the dollar. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

We would have to say there is a confluence of events conspiring against the dollar.

Michael Woolfolk

There's a compelling reason to hike interest rates at the next meeting. - Michael Woolfolk Quotes

There's a compelling reason to hike interest rates at the next meeting.

Michael Woolfolk

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